Welcome to my Conservative Blog site. It contains 6 years worth of analytical thinking. Almost any political subject you can think of has been discussed here. There is a search engine of this site only, please feel free to use it......"Al"
Monday, October 8, 2012
Debate- Round 2
Debate – Round 2
With the first presidential debate finally out of the
way, it’s now time to look ahead to round 2.
What did we see from round 1? We saw an incumbent president
falter. This is nothing new. Throughout the history of televised debates, the
incumbent has historically lost the first debate to his challenger. Carter’s
defeat of Reagan in 1980 is the only time an incumbent clearly defeated his
challenger in their first debate. So, Romney winning the first round is not
uncommon, it’s actually to be expected.
You would think in Round 2 of the debates, with Romney
soundly defeating Obama, the same is to be expected. This could not be farther
from the truth. Obama has everything working for him in the next debate. Romney
has a huge uphill climb to make in order to knock out Obama and make the last
debate virtually meaningless. Here’s why:
Obama did such a poor job in Round 1, even if he only
does a little better in the second debate, it will appear to his support he
improved by leaps and bounds from his first showing.
The media is already in the tank for Obama. Any
improvement in the second debate by Obama will give the media something
positive to write about and at the very least it will give them a way to
portray the debate a draw.
If the debate is a draw in reality, just the idea of
Obama making such a drastic recovery will have everyone but the most honest of
reporters and columnist hailing his performance as a sound and decisive
victory. Those 45% of the voting population who are uninformed and get their
news and talking points strictly from mainstream media will eat up the media’s
hyping and re-energize themselves.
The next format is a Townhall setting. This is where
Obama is at his best. In 2008 in the same type setting, Obama wiped the floor
with John McCain. Not being tied to a podium is a real positive for Obama.
Obama is a much better creative thinker when he is allowed to move around. His
abilities as a showman and entertainer can and will be part of his debate strategy.
In order to have a chance at sweeping all three debates,
this is the one Romney has to shine in the most. Not only does Romney have to
do as well as he did in the round 1, he has to be better.
I personally think part of the Obama strategy was to lose
the first debate but not nearly as bad as he did. Obama and his camp knew
Romney was a good debater when he is allowed to stay on message, so why didn’t
they try to trip him up? They know they have the video of Romney saying
(paraphrasing here) the 47% of people who don’t pay taxes don’t matter in this
race. Why didn’t they use it? Obama has been hammering Paul Ryan in his stump
speeches but barely mentioned him during round 1. Why didn’t he speak of Ryan
more? I believe Obama’s team decided to hold these points and others until he
would be in his best setting, i.e. the second debate so he would be more
comfortable. By not bringing these points up until the second debate, this
gives him the opportunity to use his showman and entertainer abilities to their
fullest to give viewers the appearance he is “that guy” the media portrays him
to be, a tough and confident highly qualified president.
If Romney isn’t ready for a tougher, more aggressive
opponent who is going to throw everything he has into THIS debate, the media will not only declare Obama the
winner of round 2, they will declare him the winner and start portraying the
Romney campaign dead regardless of results of round 3.
Fifties something guy, with a political view, but not in your face with it. Don't ask my opinion about politics if you don't want it, but I don't start conversations about it when meeting you for the first time. I have so many interests, that I don't pigeon hole into one catagory. I have written a book, and been published, it's about the care I gave my parents in their last years, it's a story of love, care, and dedication.
“Even sadder that so many of us are so blind and stupid, just living our lives daily and letting "smarter" people 'run' our lives."
"Thank God for people like you.”
“This is so horrible....how can one be so advanced and so naive at the same time..”
“Well if you were a politician, you would have my vote. I have a great deal of respect for intelligence...especially when I agree with most of your thoughts, almost visions."
"So many things 'we' stood for are getting lost and no one seems to be taking notice.”
"Your ideas, and thoughts are well researched, great job!"
"I really felt like you are really ‘in tune’ to what is really happening…so I ‘depend’ on your wisdom.. "
"Thanks for sharing all your findings Al. You have been such a big help with my decision. I knew in my heart that McCain should be our leader, but you sure made me all the more convinced…and the people I have forwarded your emails to feel the same way, I’m sure. I still think you ought to ‘run’ for an office, open some eyes around here"
I just want to thank you for being such a great American. I have always been interested in politics but now that I have a son, I really am quite interested. And to be honest, I really feel for him and what he is going to have to put up with in the future. My one saving grace is the fact that when I was his age we also had an awful President in office and fortunately the Great Ronald Reagan came riding in on his horse to save us. Hopefully in 2012 someone will come swooping in and save us. I appreciate the posts that you put on letting the world know of the crimes that most of the press won't let the world see. Well I am just in one of those moods tonight and I am rambling on but I just wanted to thank you. I would always love to get more involved in politics and if there is ever a place that you think I could come in and help please don't hesitate to ask.
This site has a moderated comments policy, so if you feel the need to be abusive, or attack anyone personally, the comment you are about to post is a waste of your time and mine, it will not be printed. If on the other hand you wish to debate the issue or the message and have credible links to support your cause, fire away, I will be happy to post them.
My Personal Beliefs ( so you know where I'm coming from)
I believe, that the United States of America is the best country in the world bar none.
I believe, the founding fathers wrote the Constitution of our country based on their belief in Christianity, and encouraged the practice of all religions but not at the expense of the others.
I believe, the Supreme Court should interpret the Constitution and not legislate from the bench.
I believe, the Constitution is a legal document, and not a living document subjected to constant change.
I believe, the course to peace is based on strong military, strong principles, and not a pacifist denial approach.
I believe, the second amendment is the right of every citizen in our country, and people not guns are the cause of murder.
I believe, in the death penalty as a form of public compliance to our laws.
I believe, a declared “hate crime” should not just be limited to describe the victimization of one race, or religion, but should be applied equally.
I believe, taxes are necessary to run our country and benefit our citizens, and not to give to foreign governments to “buy” friendships.
I believe, the government should have no right to tax a dead man’s estate on money he has already paid taxes on.
I believe, the President should have the power of the Line Item Veto.
I believe, that Senator’s and Congressmen should have term limits the same as the other elected officials.
I believe, that Senators and Congressmen should eliminate the word “entitlements” from their vocabulary.
I believe, that taxation in our country is disproportionate according to annual salaries, and serves to polarize citizens within the system.
I believe, “Affirmative Action” is neither affirmative nor action, and should be eliminated, as it’s just another form of prejudice.
I believe, that “pork barrel” or “earmarks” should be eliminated, as they are detrimental to budgetary constraints of our country.
I believe, in a balanced budget amendment with the exception of a declaration of war.
I believe, that if it’s so easy to raise hundreds of millions of dollars for a Presidential Position that pays $400K a year, then the amount raised should be taxed.
I believe, in governing our own country, and never handing power of a New World Order to the United Nations for any treaty.
I believe, to insure the safety of our citizens, we need to secure our borders and enforce existing immigration, and hiring laws.
I believe, that English should be formally declared our official language, and should be used in business dealings at home, and English should be taught in school systems to mainstream students.
I believe, that immigrants to our country should be made to assimilate to our culture, and not the other way around.
I believe, global warming is a reality, but to declare that man made emissions are the main cause, based primarily on computer based models, is akin to believing that weathermen can predict next week’s weather based on a “preponderance of evidence.”
There is one areas I don't agree with the official Republican Platform:
I believe in Gay, and Lesbian Rights
I do not believe in same sex marriage though
I want to welcome everyone to my blog site. Everything you see is my opinion only. As we all know some sources are better then others, and when I see them as questionable, or open for conjecture, I back them up with another source. However, unfortunately, sometimes even these sources can be wrong, and if that is the case, I apologize. When researching a subject, my aim is to find the truth, and the facts and links to back it up. I don't take a position lightly, I research first and form an opinion from the collection of facts. I hope you enjoy the fruits of my research, because not everyone can devote the time to do this.......... because this work represents hours of time invested, if you copy and paste an article please insert a link back to my blog. Thanks again