What Area Might Putin Invade Next After Ukraine?
Al Ritter
To preface this article, I am certainly no expert in
foreign affairs, or military strategy, but this is strictly my opinion and nothing more. It certainly
makes strategic sense for Russia to make this grab and I will try to explain
why.
Putin has made no secret of trying to restore Russia back
to the once powerful U.S.S.R. and recapture the former Soviet satellites one by
one in the name of annexation to “free Russian speaking people.” His aggression
is mortifying to be honest, but his success is startling.
For 22 Years Putin has held power in Russia under the
guise of Democratic Election which couldn’t be farther from the truth. In a
successful hand off of power to avoid term limitations he has used Dmitry Medvedev
as his puppet in which to swap power with trading the President position back
and forth.
Ok, on to my prediction, Russia has a small outpost if
you will 370km from their homeland, it is on the Baltic Sea and is surrounded
by NATO member states of Lithuania and Poland and farther north by NATO
countries of Latvia and Estonia.
Basically the Russian outpost of Kaliningrad Oblast
sits surrounded by NATO nations. This outpost is of utmost military importance
to Russia as it is the home of the Russian Baltic Fleet. Now this isn’t Russia’s
only Baltic Port but it is the only Baltic Port that doesn’t freeze over in the
winter.
This port is also home to a wide array of ballistic missiles
that have a reach all through the Baltic region which if used could give Russia
total control of the Baltic Sea.
So you see they certainly have a vested interest in
keeping it. This area was once part of Germany during WWII and U.S.S.R. claimed
it as the spoils of war in the late 40’s. In the fall of the Soviet Union
because of financial restraints this area was offered back to Germany, but
Germany refused because by this time all Germans had been replaced by Russians
and Germany would have been forced to deal with what to do with the Russian population
if they retook the land.
Kaliningrad Oblast is merely 65km from Russian
friendly Belarus in a straight line on the borders of Poland and Lithuania. If
Russia were to “annex” this narrow 65km border between the Countries of Poland
and Lithuania they would effectively cut off three NATO nations from the rest
of the world. Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia would be sitting ducks for a later
invasion.
Putin might wait and see with Finland and Sweden
joining NATO this year. But with his aggressive actions in the past with
Georgia, Crimea, and now Ukraine I wouldn’t take this Kaliningrad Oblast
connection with Belarus off the table, it would give Putin a direct land link
to Russia through Belarus and at the same time severing 3 NATO nations with the
world.
The only question I would have is when? Certainly time
is not on Putin’s side, with devastating losses in Ukraine of both equipment
and personnel it will take some time to rebuild, add that to Putin’s rumored
ill health it could be soon or it could be later.
One thing is for sure, you can bet he’s considering
it!
Watch the Video here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=b2f9Zf-MDtU
Update 6/30/22:
6 comments:
Very in depth assessment, thank you for the research, makes perfect sense to me
Wow! If true this could tip the NATO world on it's head
I think that an invasion on any part of a NATO ally would bring down NATO itself on Putin let alone invading two member countries at once, but just my opinion
It's a horrible thing to wish but I hope his passing comes before any more invasions :(
I just saw this in the buried news, NICE SCOOP!
Why do we keep throwing money at this S--thole?
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